PolyBot

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Traders

Mark0309

0x3b0d074ab86d5e27af08ac98498220015f6b073f

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$19.0k
Markets traded
246
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded246
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3500.125$337.50$608.50
Will Solana dip to $70 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4100.265$265.00$145.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3100.255$255.00$55.00
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3320.160$239.56$259.49
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1530.013$63.75$716.24
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.105$28.32$33.71
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4930.050$20.30$180.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET · Down0.2730.000$0.00$11.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET · Down0.4360.000$0.00$2.16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET · Down0.2200.000$0.00$1.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET · Up0.6200.000$0.00$6.19
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Down0.4000.000$0.00$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$4.92
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00$4.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 08:20Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETBUY0.21$1.05
07-13 08:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETBUY0.72$3.60
07-13 02:09Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETSELL0.49$4.90
07-09 05:05Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETSELL0.5$2.50
07-07 02:02Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETSELL0.56$5.60
07-02 01:04United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5BUY0.47$2.35
07-01 01:53Spread: Mexico (-1.5)BUY0.19$1.90
05-15 08:27Will Solana dip to $80 in May?SELL0.29$0.11
05-15 06:11Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.59$209.77
05-11 03:12Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETBUY0.05$1.50
05-11 03:08Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETBUY0.02$2.00
05-11 02:55Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETBUY0.39$3.90
05-11 02:37Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETSELL0.53$5.30
05-11 02:31Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETBUY0.22$2.20
05-11 02:29Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.24$2.40