strizhka23
0x3b0907bf3b162e9e41d82c1e9f5f8aaca16ca372
- Realised P&L
- $-55.54
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $22.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 3? · Yes | 0.997 | 0.990 | $22.84 | −$0.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.61at 0.660UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
- +$7.38at 0.820Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
- +$6.83at 0.900Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?
- +$4.26at 0.190Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
- +$2.85at 0.960Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 19:41 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 3? | BUY | 0.9969999837 | $23.00 |
| 09-18 21:14 | Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.9299999716 | $20.00 |
| 09-04 21:21 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999986 | $20.00 |
| 08-23 19:12 | Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23? | BUY | 0.995 | $9.00 |
| 08-23 19:10 | Will the Silver Bulletin Generic Congressional Ballot show Democrats +7.0–7.1% for August 24? | BUY | 0.9970976169 | $10.00 |
| 05-02 18:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.00 |
| 03-29 21:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | BUY | 0.992 | $12.50 |
| 01-22 04:56 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January? | BUY | 0.8969999769 | $31.15 |
| 01-19 16:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.12 |
| 01-16 23:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $40.08 |
| 01-15 22:45 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 16? | BUY | 0.997999983 | $40.00 |
| 01-11 14:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 11? | BUY | 0.9989999892 | $42.50 |
| 01-03 06:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 5? | BUY | 0.9987901226 | $42.45 |
| 12-21 23:00 | Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of December 22 above $240? | BUY | 0.9964137379 | $42.30 |
| 12-16 23:42 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on December 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $42.21 |