Memento.Mori
0x3b06ebdf208baeb617f0546720b09bb79cfd3489
- Realised P&L
- $226.62
- Volume
- $42.0k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $844.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$258.34at 0.474Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$189.81at 0.086Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$149.68at 0.787France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
- +$142.67at 0.540US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$123.38at 0.491Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 08:24 | Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $15.54 |
| 10-30 08:13 | Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31? | SELL | 0.963 | $15.52 |
| 10-29 16:28 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999994 | $73.57 |
| 10-29 10:58 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999998 | $30.00 |
| 10-28 22:21 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? | BUY | 0.5999999976 | $50.00 |
| 10-28 22:20 | Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.6499999994 | $50.00 |
| 10-28 21:38 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9785144478 | $203.52 |
| 10-24 21:34 | Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $11.29 |
| 10-23 22:55 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.679999999 | $80.00 |
| 10-23 22:34 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $40.00 |
| 10-22 21:54 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $12.60 |
| 10-22 21:49 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $2.69 |
| 10-22 21:49 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $5.15 |
| 10-22 11:06 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $151.72 |
| 10-21 21:29 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999992 | $19.09 |