Antonythong
0x3afb4b75b4936bfda30787cf5802ea3a0e7c0004
- Realised P&L
- $-8.7k
- Volume
- $385.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,156
- Open portfolio
- $58.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,156
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B · Movistar KOI Fénix | 0.650 | 0.645 | $32.25 | −$0.25 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.945 | 0.951 | $10.00 | +$0.06 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.720 | 0.705 | $9.73 | −$0.21 |
| Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - European Pro League Group A · Zero Tenacity | 0.350 | 0.505 | $5.56 | +$1.71 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · No | 0.931 | 0.944 | $1.22 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$880.00at 0.560LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner
- +$835.92at 0.103Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5
- +$798.37at 0.451LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winner
- +$626.73at 0.367Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels
- +$519.07at 0.883US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 05:09 | LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B | BUY | 0.65 | $32.50 |
| 09-22 18:29 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999914 | $4.97 |
| 09-21 23:53 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9419999094 | $4.97 |
| 09-21 20:00 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9479998253 | $4.97 |
| 09-21 16:24 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.9309999713 | $1.20 |
| 09-21 16:21 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.4399999635 | $1.93 |
| 09-21 15:19 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.56 | $0.01 |
| 09-21 15:19 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.56 | $0.02 |
| 09-21 15:19 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.56 | $0.01 |
| 09-21 15:19 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.56 | $0.03 |
| 09-21 15:19 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.54 | $0.02 |
| 09-21 15:19 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.55 | $0.02 |
| 09-21 15:19 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.55 | $0.02 |
| 09-21 15:19 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.55 | $0.04 |
| 09-21 15:16 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.52 | $0.01 |