studentofthemarkets
0x3af8dc95a04fc7a9a173479bc94a73d2cf65ed8a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $434.1k
- Markets traded
- 4,090
- Open portfolio
- $10.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,090
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.00at 0.520Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16?
- +$44.51at 0.004Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 14?
- +$28.20at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
- +$23.83at 0.020Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on July 14?
- +$23.75at 0.568Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 12:18 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-08 12:18 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.20 |
| 10-08 12:18 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9885425917 | $9.90 |
| 10-08 11:34 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.480392123 | $2.50 |
| 10-08 11:34 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.2 | $0.01 |
| 10-08 11:34 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.96 |
| 10-08 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9909999996 | $5.42 |
| 10-08 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9979999788 | $5.46 |
| 10-08 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.896 | $4.90 |
| 10-08 06:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 10-08 06:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.9399999961 | $4.80 |
| 10-08 06:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.8399999766 | $4.30 |
| 10-07 20:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.3099999424 | $1.56 |
| 10-07 19:31 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.4989999583 | $5.01 |
| 10-07 18:44 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.5989999686 | $3.01 |