mkou7h9
0x3af2d1c573e40a608e97a951db96f66bfec07bfc
- Realised P&L
- $90.43
- Volume
- $20.7k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $193.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $1.00? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.906 | $108.78 | −$11.10 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $20? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.900 | $62.10 | −$6.83 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $10? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.900 | $12.60 | −$1.39 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $0.50? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.506 | $10.13 | −$9.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.52at 0.860Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
- +$13.99at 0.986Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$13.59at 0.986Trump out as President by March 31?
- +$6.56at 0.988Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
- +$6.48at 0.940GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 04:31 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $0.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-08 04:31 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $1.00? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.88 |
| 08-08 04:30 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $10? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.99 |
| 08-08 04:30 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $20? | BUY | 0.999 | $68.93 |
| 08-06 05:58 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $150.85 |
| 08-02 18:24 | Will CZ post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-02 18:23 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 08-02 16:59 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.10 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.89 |
| 07-26 09:04 | Will Chainlink reach $14 in July? | BUY | 0.997 | $115.65 |
| 07-26 09:03 | Will XRP reach $2.00 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $138.72 |
| 07-18 00:00 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of July 20 above $120? | BUY | 0.999 | $275.72 |
| 07-16 06:56 | Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $98.53 |
| 07-16 06:56 | Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.89 |
| 07-12 08:01 | Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.60 on July 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.89 |
| 07-12 07:59 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $79.84 |