mkou7h9
0x3af2d1c573e40a608e97a951db96f66bfec07bfc
- Realised P&L
- $121.00
- Volume
- $22.7k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $373.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? · No | 0.998 | 0.996 | $199.53 | −$0.47 |
| Trump out as President by September 30? · No | 0.988 | 0.999 | $168.75 | +$1.77 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 in September? · No | 0.990 | 0.961 | $4.80 | −$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.52at 0.860Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
- +$13.99at 0.986Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$13.59at 0.986Trump out as President by March 31?
- +$6.48at 0.940GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
- +$6.20at 0.980Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.75 Week of May 4 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 01:12 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? | BUY | 0.9978277746 | $200.00 |
| 09-19 15:05 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 in September? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-12 04:31 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 14 above $40? | BUY | 0.99 | $198.00 |
| 09-06 08:36 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 7 above $30? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-06 01:56 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-05 07:34 | Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-05 07:27 | Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $107.76 |
| 09-03 09:55 | Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $197.80 |
| 09-03 08:58 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.988 | $166.97 |
| 08-22 08:45 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $151.39 |
| 08-22 08:33 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $217.35 |
| 08-17 23:55 | Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $102.90 |
| 08-17 23:49 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 17 above $0.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $257.74 |
| 08-10 11:41 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $138.86 |
| 08-08 04:31 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $0.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |