aMemer
0x3ad5c5d5b5b2cdd1a9898c2740257e58bd53d31d
- Realised P&L
- $-127.39
- Volume
- $81.8k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.971 | 0.994 | $1.5k | +$34.69 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.986 | 0.989 | $1.5k | +$4.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.031Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$2.1kat 0.038Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$2.0kat 0.013Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$124.20at 0.086Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
- +$95.54at 0.181Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 04:03 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.031 | $12.77 |
| 07-17 15:17 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.405 | $40.91 |
| 06-12 11:26 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $0.01 |
| 05-22 13:47 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.81 |
| 05-06 14:27 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.934 | $34.65 |
| 04-28 01:40 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $300.00 |
| 04-24 14:31 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $609.00 |
| 04-20 12:28 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $16.18 |
| 04-20 12:27 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $183.62 |
| 04-18 00:03 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $16.18 |
| 04-16 13:21 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $860.00 |
| 04-16 11:37 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $3.34 |
| 04-15 12:53 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $172.00 |
| 04-15 12:53 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $86.00 |
| 04-15 12:44 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $12.90 |