PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

aMemer

0x3ad5c5d5b5b2cdd1a9898c2740257e58bd53d31d

Realised P&L
$-127.39
Volume
$81.8k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.9710.994$1.5k+$34.69
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9860.989$1.5k+$4.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 04:03Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.031$12.77
07-17 15:17Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.405$40.91
06-12 11:26Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.9$0.01
05-22 13:47Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?SELL0.08$0.81
05-06 14:27Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.934$34.65
04-28 01:40Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.2$300.00
04-24 14:31Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.87$609.00
04-20 12:28Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.58$16.18
04-20 12:27Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.87$183.62
04-18 00:03Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.58$16.18
04-16 13:21Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.86$860.00
04-16 11:37Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.85$3.34
04-15 12:53Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.86$172.00
04-15 12:53Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.86$86.00
04-15 12:44Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.86$12.90