PolyBot

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Traders

srger

0x3ad4c34563977fc8e7fa567215d4e4b5dcb7993e

Realised P&L
$-111.64
Volume
$9.4k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$667.14

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration87.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · No0.6600.955$401.09+$123.90
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9380.836$250.65$30.75
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0600.005$15.40$152.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 02:42Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?SELL0.967$83.48
07-09 08:48Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?BUY0.06$168.00
06-22 07:47Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.741$207.48
05-25 09:02Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?BUY0.66$237.60
05-24 11:40US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.91$209.30
05-20 01:53Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.938$234.50
05-20 01:51Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.938$46.90
04-12 03:25Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.726$726.00
04-01 07:19Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.34$238.00
03-25 06:48Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY0.52$364.00