PolyBot

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Traders

BinaryOwl

0x3acdb1d2a27f209c77b6375de3fab30d5a755b1b

Realised P&L
$-577.04
Volume
$24.0k
Markets traded
154
Open portfolio
$19.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded154
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9300.945$16.29+$0.26
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.0600.055$2.77$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 5? · Yes0.0290.001$0.03$1.43
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 3 Senegal? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$1.00
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$4.28
Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 1 Panama? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$5.99
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? · Yes0.1040.000$0.00$4.65
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 · Over0.3600.000$0.00$18.20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 3? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00$1.04
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 4? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Colombia? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$2.28
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on August 3? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.6370.000$0.00$25.68
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$3.01
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$5.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 19:54Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 5?BUY0.029$1.45
08-05 06:32Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 5?BUY0.034$0.85
08-04 18:25Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-04?SELL0.33$1.01
08-04 18:25Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.4$1.22
08-04 17:02Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 4?BUY0.01$1.00
08-03 19:19Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 3?BUY0.074954955$1.04
08-03 07:05Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on August 3?BUY0.001$1.00
08-02 19:05Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on August 2?BUY0.085$0.09
08-02 05:43Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?BUY0.001$1.00
08-02 01:39Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 2?BUY0.001$1.00
08-02 01:15Will Philadelphia Union vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?SELL0.29$2.24
08-02 01:15Will Philadelphia Union vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?BUY0.21$1.62
08-01 13:35Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-01?SELL0.21$1.05
08-01 13:35Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.23$1.15
08-01 09:30Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on August 1?BUY0.14$13.86