PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

relationnuclearfertile

0x3acd7e87eaea73ad33aed7746ddeb7c1dc605cd0

Realised P&L
$-856.28
Volume
$76.9k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$20.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7000.415$20.75$14.25
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.6380.000$0.00$638.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2270.000$0.00$469.00
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Trump" during his victory/concession speech? · No0.2800.000$0.00$7.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1010.000$0.00$208.00
Will Zohran Mamdani say "New York" or "New Yorker" 10+ times during his victory/concession speech? · No0.1150.000$0.00$37.95
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1940.000$0.00$400.00
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$682.68
Will Finland win on 2025-11-14? · Yes0.7900.000$0.00$48.19
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0840.000$0.00$178.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$2.2k
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$205.50
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance · Egypt0.1400.000$0.00$51.45
France vs. England: Team to Win · France0.0900.000$0.00$133.20
French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28? · No0.7700.000$0.00$109.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 22:32France vs. England: Team to WinSELL0.4641557692$241.36
07-18 21:41France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.09$180.00
07-15 20:54England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.9425$179.52
07-15 20:48England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5249999988$100.00
07-10 21:00Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?SELL0.9975$713.10
07-10 19:44Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.5774999993$200.00
07-10 19:44Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.5774999997$72.00
07-10 19:40Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.8199999993$200.00
07-10 19:39Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?SELL0.045$22.50
07-10 19:01Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.16$80.00
07-07 16:29Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceSELL0.32$122.40
07-07 15:52Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceBUY0.14$105.00
07-01 17:41Will England win on 2026-07-01?SELL0.4$160.00
07-01 17:10Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?SELL0.26$104.00
07-01 17:08Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.27$108.00