relationnuclearfertile
0x3acd7e87eaea73ad33aed7746ddeb7c1dc605cd0
- Realised P&L
- $-856.28
- Volume
- $76.9k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $20.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.131Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$560.00at 0.720Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
- +$526.66at 0.917Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$344.10at 0.910Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
- +$266.43at 0.300Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 22:32 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.4641557692 | $241.36 |
| 07-18 21:41 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.09 | $180.00 |
| 07-15 20:54 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.9425 | $179.52 |
| 07-15 20:48 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5249999988 | $100.00 |
| 07-10 21:00 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | SELL | 0.9975 | $713.10 |
| 07-10 19:44 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.5774999993 | $200.00 |
| 07-10 19:44 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.5774999997 | $72.00 |
| 07-10 19:40 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.8199999993 | $200.00 |
| 07-10 19:39 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | SELL | 0.045 | $22.50 |
| 07-10 19:01 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.16 | $80.00 |
| 07-07 16:29 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.32 | $122.40 |
| 07-07 15:52 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.14 | $105.00 |
| 07-01 17:41 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.4 | $160.00 |
| 07-01 17:10 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.26 | $104.00 |
| 07-01 17:08 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.27 | $108.00 |