pupsiko
0x3ac34ffb56a537e96c94fa1b803376c51e2cc010
- Realised P&L
- $274.25
- Volume
- $121.7k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $203.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.245 | $203.35 | −$87.15 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025? · No | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.90at 0.790Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
- +$49.63at 0.994Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
- +$33.58at 0.996Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
- +$29.16at 0.996Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
- +$28.09at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-02 12:20 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $170 on February 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $228.59 |
| 01-26 16:10 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $228.13 |
| 01-22 18:36 | Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.971 | $221.52 |
| 01-13 13:25 | Will the price of Solana be above $160 on January 14? | BUY | 0.995 | $10.00 |
| 01-13 13:25 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on January 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 01-13 13:24 | Will the price of Solana be above $160 on January 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 01-13 13:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 16? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.00 |
| 01-13 13:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 15? | BUY | 0.995 | $10.00 |
| 01-13 13:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $10.00 |
| 01-13 13:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 14? | BUY | 0.9990000009 | $10.00 |
| 01-13 13:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 13? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.00 |
| 01-13 13:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 12-18? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $10.00 |
| 01-13 13:12 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 01-13 13:12 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 01-13 13:11 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |