supremac1
0x3ac089aa4bb903a6429fceec4e11827a6c20e529
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $43.0k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.159 | 0.285 | $1.4k | +$635.74 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No | 0.202 | 0.315 | $535.49 | +$192.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.76at 0.087Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?
- +$1.18at 0.195Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?
- +$-0.68at 0.112Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:16 | Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.11 | $7.70 |
| 09-17 15:16 | Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.0986516854 | $8.78 |
| 09-17 15:15 | Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.1968807339 | $85.84 |
| 09-17 15:12 | Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.1884866166 | $145.69 |
| 09-17 14:56 | Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.1080411511 | $23.31 |
| 09-17 14:56 | Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.0836980667 | $64.51 |
| 09-15 17:46 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.12 | $180.00 |