PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

supremac1

0x3ac089aa4bb903a6429fceec4e11827a6c20e529

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$43.0k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration89.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.1590.285$1.4k+$635.74
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.2020.315$535.49+$192.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 15:16Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?SELL0.11$7.70
09-17 15:16Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?SELL0.0986516854$8.78
09-17 15:15Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?SELL0.1968807339$85.84
09-17 15:12Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.1884866166$145.69
09-17 14:56Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.1080411511$23.31
09-17 14:56Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.0836980667$64.51
09-15 17:46Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.12$180.00