0x3abc80ed5ab23d48296f4d517bad7376f2e049bf
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $100.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration65.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.715 | $65.62 | −$1.38 |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.341 | 0.347 | $30.54 | +$0.54 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 3? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.050 | $3.85 | −$1.15 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.0650163354 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 17:15 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.3414053158 | $30.00 |
| 11-01 17:12 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7299999993 | $67.00 |