longhold
0x3ab9a799f9697dcc25ce1dc7b366a770e06d710d
- Realised P&L
- $-565.61
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $29.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$224.59at 0.260Grêmio Novorizontino vs. Londrina EC: O/U 3.5
- +$69.76at 0.820Vissel Kōbe vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 4.5
- +$31.03at 0.808Will the price of XRP be greater than $2.40 on January 9?
- +$24.89at 0.376Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
- +$19.68at 0.880Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 08:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? | BUY | 0.992 | $14.76 |
| 05-28 07:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? | BUY | 0.9899999926 | $14.76 |
| 03-31 01:27 | Red Star FC vs. Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.23 | $76.33 |
| 03-19 23:35 | Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? | BUY | 0.09 | $32.13 |
| 03-19 07:00 | Grêmio Novorizontino vs. Londrina EC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.26 | $78.91 |
| 03-13 05:30 | Will Google (GOOGL) close at $290-$295 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20? | BUY | 0.12 | $49.56 |
| 03-07 11:00 | First Round Pool B: Mexico vs. Brazil | BUY | 0.13 | $33.62 |
| 03-03 05:36 | Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5) | BUY | 0.052 | $8.56 |
| 02-18 04:18 | The Bondi Parlay (Feb 20) | BUY | 0.204 | $29.57 |
| 02-18 02:54 | Will "Hamnet" win Best Costume Design at the 2026 BAFTA Awards? | BUY | 0.043 | $5.03 |
| 02-17 05:54 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on February 20? | BUY | 0.021 | $6.25 |
| 02-08 08:46 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on February 10? | BUY | 0.094 | $15.19 |
| 02-06 18:19 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on February 10? | BUY | 0.083 | $24.08 |
| 02-04 22:14 | Dinamo Sassari vs. Vanoli Basket Cremona | BUY | 0.042 | $5.39 |
| 02-04 09:28 | Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open? | BUY | 0.058 | $9.63 |