R0geberg
0x3aa631bb8ce8e5d1f4a27a134eef76d282d449a1
- Realised P&L
- $-100.23
- Volume
- $45.4k
- Markets traded
- 410
- Open portfolio
- $563.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded410
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$300.97at 0.450Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?
- +$207.61at 0.591Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$160.07at 0.757Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
- +$56.36at 0.795Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 22?
- +$45.07at 0.730Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:11 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9791328572 | $27.89 |
| 08-04 17:08 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9699999997 | $55.80 |
| 08-04 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.22 |
| 08-04 15:04 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9656454294 | $18.45 |
| 08-04 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9548247967 | $36.90 |
| 08-04 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.22 |
| 08-04 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9712095855 | $18.45 |
| 08-04 13:29 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.955 | $36.91 |
| 08-04 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.94 | $13.83 |
| 08-04 11:31 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.94 | $13.84 |
| 08-04 11:21 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9365406035 | $27.68 |
| 08-04 11:18 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9412872713 | $55.39 |
| 08-04 06:54 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.96 | $40.59 |
| 08-04 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $68.31 |
| 08-04 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $8.47 |