PolyBot

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Traders

0x3aa49ffabd5490b23d7bf38da54ce806e3a0f2e1

Realised P&L
$10.09
Volume
$100.76
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$29.00

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar10.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.2201.000$9.09+$7.09
Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.4501.000$4.44+$2.44
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.6100.845$2.77+$0.77
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.8001.000$2.50+$0.50
Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? · Yes0.6800.765$2.25+$0.25
Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes0.4300.455$2.12+$0.12
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? · No0.7000.665$1.90$0.10
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%? · No0.7700.715$1.86$0.14
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No0.3800.365$1.33$0.05
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.3100.115$0.74$1.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 00:55Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
08-04 16:54Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?BUY0.7699997035$2.00
08-04 08:53Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?BUY0.699999755$2.00
08-04 00:52Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4499999212$2.00
08-03 16:50Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?BUY0.68$2.00
08-03 16:50US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.3099999364$2.00
08-03 16:49Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.2199999164$2.00
08-03 08:47US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.6099999786$2.00
08-02 23:32Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.8$2.00
08-01 13:58Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3799999284$1.38
08-01 05:05Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.64$1.95
07-31 21:03Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-31 13:01Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.42$1.26
07-30 17:34Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.4989999935$1.99
07-30 01:37Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?BUY0.6599998949$2.01