0x3a94fc78a10ce4ddc249dfa28f8c51f11b0dd9cb
0x3a94fc78a10ce4ddc249dfa28f8c51f11b0dd9cb
- Realised P&L
- $-8.36
- Volume
- $85.08
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $0.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? · Up | 0.330 | 0.310 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.11at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$1.52at 0.500Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$1.44at 0.500Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?
- +$0.98at 0.510Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?
- +$0.51at 0.748WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on September 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 03:15 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 07:14 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 on October 14? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 20:25 | Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 10:06 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 01:02 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on October 7? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:55 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:20 | Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 11:42 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.4299998701 | $1.49 |
| 09-01 11:53 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on September 1? | BUY | 0.7399999305 | $1.49 |
| 09-01 03:52 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999031 | $1.49 |
| 09-01 03:52 | Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.49 |
| 08-23 04:42 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August? | BUY | 0.4099998762 | $1.49 |
| 08-22 14:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.7799999372 | $1.49 |
| 08-17 21:39 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.49 |
| 08-17 11:29 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $1.49 |