zummo
0x3a90e48fa42412387c2130f5f38b8e19fa0c169a
- Realised P&L
- $-5.57
- Volume
- $27.77
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $3.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-20.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.395 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Yokohama BayStars vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallows · Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 0.440 | 0.496 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Chunichi Dragons · Chunichi Dragons | 0.610 | 0.500 | $0.82 | −$0.18 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.175 | $0.62 | −$0.38 |
| Will New People (NL) win between 55 and 64 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.007 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 13? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Yokohama BayStars vs. Yomiuri Giants · Yomiuri Giants | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.59at 0.632Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 11?
- +$0.04at 0.482Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
- +$-1.02at 0.592San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds
- +$-1.02at 0.512Chunichi Dragons vs. Hiroshima Carp
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 07:00 | Yokohama BayStars vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallows | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 00:10 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Chunichi Dragons | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 05:44 | Chunichi Dragons vs. Hiroshima Carp | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 07:15 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 07:13 | San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 07:12 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 07:11 | Will New People (NL) win between 55 and 64 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 23:20 | Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 07:41 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 07:41 | Yokohama BayStars vs. Yomiuri Giants | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 08-12 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 13? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 08-10 07:41 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |