PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zummo

0x3a90e48fa42412387c2130f5f38b8e19fa0c169a

Realised P&L
$-5.57
Volume
$27.77
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$3.74

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-20.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration94.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.3400.395$1.16+$0.16
Yokohama BayStars vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallows · Tokyo Yakult Swallows0.4400.496$1.13+$0.13
Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Chunichi Dragons · Chunichi Dragons0.6100.500$0.82$0.18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.2800.175$0.62$0.38
Will New People (NL) win between 55 and 64 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.8300.007$0.01$0.99
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 13? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$1.00
Yokohama BayStars vs. Yomiuri Giants · Yomiuri Giants0.4700.000$0.00$1.00
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies0.3700.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 07:00Yokohama BayStars vs. Tokyo Yakult SwallowsBUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-07 00:10Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Chunichi DragonsBUY0.6099998597$1.00
09-03 05:44Chunichi Dragons vs. Hiroshima CarpBUY0.5$1.00
09-02 07:15Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?BUY0.33999983$1.00
09-02 07:13San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.579999826$1.00
09-02 07:12Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
09-02 07:11Will New People (NL) win between 55 and 64 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.8299999087$1.00
08-19 23:20Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Fukuoka SoftBank HawksBUY0.4699998778$1.00
08-18 07:41Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesBUY0.3699998631$1.00
08-18 07:41Yokohama BayStars vs. Yomiuri GiantsBUY0.4699998778$1.00
08-12 04:18Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 13?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
08-10 07:41Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 11?BUY0.6199998512$1.00