rpr2000
0x3a9073a70d5c0b4b4bacac059f697a77d3f8e5fa
- Realised P&L
- $3.08
- Volume
- $459.81
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $32.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.185 | $20.11 | −$4.89 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.565 | $9.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.045 | $2.81 | −$2.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.02at 0.679Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
- +$-0.08at 0.933Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
- +$-0.88at 0.669Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$-0.97at 0.903Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 12:58 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.2299999983 | $25.00 |
| 09-28 09:10 | Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 09:08 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.62 | $9.39 |
| 09-23 13:24 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 13:23 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $45.97 |
| 09-22 09:04 | Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 09:04 | Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $4.94 |
| 09-22 09:01 | Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 17:22 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999948 | $40.00 |
| 09-17 17:21 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.89 | $49.23 |
| 09-03 10:16 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9 | $49.78 |