0x3a8e7a69bf9150b34a975ad0daf1575ab1de44d6
0x3a8e7a69bf9150b34a975ad0daf1575ab1de44d6
- Realised P&L
- $-26.70
- Volume
- $420.19
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $4.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No one announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.219 | 0.267 | $1.83 | +$0.33 |
| Will Stockwell Day win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? · No | 0.980 | 0.880 | $1.35 | −$0.15 |
| Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.391 | $1.08 | −$0.42 |
| Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09? · No | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09? · Yes | 0.326 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Jorge Martinez be the Republican nominee for FL-09? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.71at 0.480Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.30at 0.510Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
- +$0.11at 0.932Will Mark Zuckerberg attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?
- +$0.09at 0.500Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?
- +$0.08at 0.903Will the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 02:55 | Will Stockwell Day win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.50 |
| 09-22 21:16 | Will Mark Zuckerberg attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.50 |
| 09-22 06:04 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $1.86 |
| 09-17 09:50 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.2189999702 | $1.50 |
| 09-17 02:15 | Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.37 |
| 09-15 21:12 | Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 11:04 | Will the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat? | SELL | 0.955 | $1.59 |
| 09-05 02:20 | Will the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.50 |
| 09-04 22:00 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.928 | $1.48 |
| 09-04 01:14 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999875 | $1.50 |
| 09-04 01:07 | Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.04 |
| 09-03 22:33 | Will Heino Doessing win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election? | SELL | 0.035 | $1.14 |
| 09-03 14:33 | Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election? | BUY | 0.1299999307 | $1.50 |
| 09-03 14:27 | Will Monique Taylor win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.46 |
| 09-03 07:23 | Will Heino Doessing win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election? | BUY | 0.0459999717 | $1.50 |