PolyBot

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Traders

Nonameye

0x3a8e395d821ace26c87ce21c14fba117d391974d

Realised P&L
$-834.15
Volume
$144.0k
Markets traded
121
Open portfolio
$319.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded121
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0700.045$183.63−$100.94
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1600.145$134.91−$13.96
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? · Yes0.0080.009$1.19+$0.19
Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$14.82
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$24.05
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$8.81
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$3.46
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00−$145.92
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$17.23
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00−$8.00
Will the US strike Iran next? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.00
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00−$33.63
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$18.40
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$50.00
Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 12:55Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.0599999995$4.94
10-06 12:55Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?BUY0.008$1.00
10-06 12:54Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?BUY0.16$130.00
10-06 12:49Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?BUY0.16$18.87
10-06 12:48Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.06$1.50
10-06 12:44Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.024095958$20.37
09-30 14:18Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0278408461$17.57
09-30 14:13Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.07$68.00
08-28 20:59Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.07$210.14
08-28 20:58Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.06$244.14
08-21 16:39Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?SELL0.0154378109$49.43
08-01 00:55Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.0339999968$9.99
08-01 00:55Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.0899999942$13.28
07-31 23:46Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.033999998$15.99
07-31 23:46Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.0899999991$80.18