0x3A8DC538354F6Fe0a142ae324B10EcB2Cf3A8d53-1733247127320
0x3a8dc538354f6fe0a142ae324b10ecb2cf3a8d53
- Realised P&L
- $-48.03
- Volume
- $9.7k
- Markets traded
- 142
- Open portfolio
- $47.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded142
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $23.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No | 0.996 | 0.975 | $14.68 | −$0.32 |
| Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No | 0.993 | 0.989 | $10.11 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.14at 0.995Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
- +$0.13at 0.994Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 6?
- +$0.12at 0.995Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?
- +$0.12at 0.995Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 14-20?
- +$0.12at 0.991Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Australian Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 06:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2? | BUY | 0.998782873 | $23.00 |
| 09-27 21:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.9949999759 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 16:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 26? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 06:55 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 21? | BUY | 0.9961834511 | $12.20 |
| 09-18 17:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.995 | $26.00 |
| 09-12 04:03 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.996 | $15.00 |
| 09-07 13:35 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.00 |
| 09-05 02:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.996 | $15.30 |
| 09-04 09:48 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.00 |
| 08-28 01:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.30 |
| 08-26 20:03 | Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30? | BUY | 0.9943929856 | $23.00 |
| 08-22 08:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 22? | BUY | 0.994 | $16.57 |
| 08-22 04:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.30 |
| 08-21 13:46 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $20.00 |
| 08-17 03:34 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 17? | BUY | 0.997999951 | $14.05 |