PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3A8DC538354F6Fe0a142ae324B10EcB2Cf3A8d53-1733247127320

0x3a8dc538354f6fe0a142ae324b10ecb2cf3a8d53

Realised P&L
$-48.03
Volume
$9.7k
Markets traded
142
Open portfolio
$47.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded142
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2? · Yes0.9991.000$23.02+$0.02
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.9960.975$14.68−$0.32
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.9930.989$10.11−$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 06:02Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2?BUY0.998782873$23.00
09-27 21:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 28?BUY0.9949999759$20.00
09-24 16:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 26?BUY0.9939999998$20.00
09-21 06:55Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 21?BUY0.9961834511$12.20
09-18 17:38Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 14-20?BUY0.995$26.00
09-12 04:03Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.996$15.00
09-07 13:35Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?BUY0.998$22.00
09-05 02:17Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 August 31-September 6?BUY0.996$15.30
09-04 09:48Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.998$11.00
08-28 01:36Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 24-30?BUY0.998$9.30
08-26 20:03Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?BUY0.9943929856$23.00
08-22 08:04Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 22?BUY0.994$16.57
08-22 04:32Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 22?BUY0.998$9.30
08-21 13:46Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?BUY0.995$20.00
08-17 03:34Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 17?BUY0.997999951$14.05