newnewbie
0x3a8496b4158abeced697030695d99bba480e0340
- Realised P&L
- $-264.82
- Volume
- $12.8k
- Markets traded
- 648
- Open portfolio
- $20.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded648
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.90at 0.115Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 1?
- +$36.39at 0.060Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$27.24at 0.250Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$26.25at 0.160Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on June 6?
- +$23.51at 0.113Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 12:56 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.2799999715 | $5.10 |
| 08-29 20:35 | Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5) | SELL | 0.06 | $0.31 |
| 08-27 16:21 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1499999751 | $4.82 |
| 08-27 16:21 | Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 16:19 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.6669999932 | $10.25 |
| 08-27 12:43 | Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.43 | $2.23 |
| 08-19 08:58 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 08-18 18:53 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-18? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 08-18 17:56 | Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 08-18 17:46 | Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs JUMBO TEAM (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 08-18 14:15 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-18? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 08-18 13:14 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-18? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 08-18 02:37 | Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 2 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 08-17 18:23 | Dana White's Contender Series: Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.747 | $3.73 |
| 08-17 12:38 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |