skydodo
0x3a797bf43ee2f8896086d7806e3b09a999a471cf
- Realised P&L
- $-988.66
- Volume
- $81.1k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $5.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.675 | $2.0k | +$72.50 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · No | 0.740 | 0.610 | $1.8k | −$377.00 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.605 | $1.8k | −$362.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.870Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$-0.10at 0.341Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$-0.41at 0.100Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$-11.67at 0.519Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$-20.35at 0.630Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:49 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.73 | $2.1k |
| 09-15 09:45 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.1045392414 | $303.16 |
| 09-13 17:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.78 | $2.3k |
| 09-13 08:55 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.0226301724 | $65.63 |
| 09-11 22:23 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.63 | $1.1k |
| 09-10 18:45 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.0k |
| 09-10 11:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $406.00 |
| 09-09 04:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $6.72 |
| 09-04 04:48 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.2357507241 | $683.68 |
| 09-02 12:07 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0851733448 | $247.00 |
| 08-29 05:55 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.519 | $606.71 |
| 08-27 23:31 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $348.00 |
| 08-26 23:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.32 | $0.97 |
| 08-26 23:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |