Masterbear
0x3a74766357374412bdff6a2cf21bae8f2c3e9043
- Realised P&L
- $974.63
- Volume
- $366.9k
- Markets traded
- 475
- Open portfolio
- $57.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded475
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.028Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 2?
- +$376.25at 0.032Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?
- +$331.29at 0.049Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 2?
- +$311.00at 0.114Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 5?
- +$293.85at 0.164Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:16 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.12 | $4.20 |
| 11-01 22:09 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.21 | $7.35 |
| 11-01 21:56 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.17 | $10.63 |
| 11-01 21:40 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 21:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.18 | $47.52 |
| 11-01 21:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.035 | $7.12 |
| 11-01 21:18 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.09 | $22.50 |
| 10-26 14:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 26? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.10 |
| 10-26 14:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26? | BUY | 0.0185546726 | $7.80 |
| 10-26 12:51 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 26? | BUY | 0.021 | $9.35 |
| 10-26 12:49 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 26? | BUY | 0.0189322857 | $4.64 |
| 10-26 11:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26? | BUY | 0.049 | $12.45 |
| 10-26 09:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.45 |
| 10-23 14:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 23? | BUY | 0.29 | $11.60 |
| 10-23 13:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.76 |