adrenalineenjoyer
0x3a74127397584a446eee45e4b218146d08f14e9a
- Realised P&L
- $-42.19
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $153.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · No | 0.977 | 0.992 | $52.36 | +$0.79 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.974 | 0.991 | $50.96 | +$0.85 |
| Will Allen Graves win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · No | 0.992 | 0.999 | $24.13 | +$0.16 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.986 | 0.987 | $19.73 | +$0.01 |
| Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.977 | 0.995 | $6.35 | +$0.11 |
| Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · No | 0.965 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.25at 0.940Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
- +$0.95at 0.972Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$0.80at 0.984Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
- +$0.55at 0.970Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
- +$0.45at 0.966Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 06:22 | Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $35.29 |
| 04-08 06:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.992 | $19.84 |