PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

adrenalineenjoyer

0x3a74127397584a446eee45e4b218146d08f14e9a

Realised P&L
$-42.19
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$153.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · No0.9770.992$52.36+$0.79
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat? · Yes0.9740.991$50.96+$0.85
Will Allen Graves win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · No0.9920.999$24.13+$0.16
Will the Republican Party win the MI-02 House seat? · Yes0.9860.987$19.73+$0.01
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9770.995$6.35+$0.11
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · No0.9650.000$0.00−$48.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 06:22Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.999$35.29
04-08 06:12Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.992$19.84