PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Bogr

0x3a68fbef51e9e06747fd94db2bc6f7dabf3a835a

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$315.0k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$19.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0920.085$18.9k$1.5k
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1600.155$22.47$0.67
Will Biden finish his term? · No0.0120.000$0.00$12.00
Elon Musk bans Apple devices at his companies? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$1.68
Mystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$5.56
Fact Check: Connection between New Orleans and Las Vegas attacks? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00$17.38
Yoon arrested by Friday? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$14.00
Will Trump say "mog" in 2024? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$8.74
Crimean bridge hit before 2025? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$5.81
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$9.53
Will Putin remain President of Russia through June? · No0.0900.000$0.00$9.20
Ukraine agrees to resume Russian natural gas transit in January? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$9.88
Trump deportation executive order in first 100 days? · No0.0400.000$0.00$2.40
Will Trump formally nominate RFK Jr. to the cabinet? · No0.0420.000$0.00$2.52
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$12.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-01 04:54Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$2.80
06-30 10:52Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$1.40
06-30 05:24Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$9.10
06-25 00:49Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$9.00
06-19 03:22Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?BUY0.0079629943$13.94
06-06 08:52Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$8.3k
06-06 08:32Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$2.5k
06-04 01:31Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$4.7k
06-03 12:08Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$2.1k
05-28 05:18Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$1.4k
12-30 17:14Elon Musk bans Apple devices at his companies?BUY0.007$1.68
12-30 12:34Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?BUY0.01$11.14
12-30 10:18Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane?BUY0.02$7.92
12-29 15:03Azerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?BUY0.001$2.49
12-29 15:02Azerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?BUY0.001$24.10