velusian
0x3a64c6ee2c5ead8d81f664d4a50383162c91f684
- Realised P&L
- $-22.38
- Volume
- $489.55
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $7.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 19? · No | 0.630 | 0.490 | $3.11 | −$0.89 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 20? · No | 0.650 | 0.485 | $2.98 | −$1.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 20? · No | 0.510 | 0.065 | $0.51 | −$3.49 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 19? · No | 0.510 | 0.039 | $0.31 | −$3.69 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 18? · No | 0.490 | 0.017 | $0.13 | −$3.86 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 17? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 1? · Yes | 0.403 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.78 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 31? · Yes | 0.384 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.54 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 29? · Yes | 0.378 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.20 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 29? · Yes | 0.308 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.16at 0.481Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 28?
- +$3.14at 0.560Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 16?
- +$2.55at 0.610Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?
- +$2.28at 0.471Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 29?
- +$2.06at 0.660Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 03:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.65 | $4.00 |
| 03-31 09:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 31? | SELL | 0.49 | $2.14 |
| 03-31 09:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.89 |
| 03-31 08:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 1? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.79 |
| 03-31 08:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 31? | BUY | 0.206 | $1.83 |
| 03-31 01:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $1.85 |
| 03-31 01:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 31? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.86 |
| 03-31 01:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 31? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.85 |
| 03-31 01:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 31? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.85 |
| 03-30 23:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 31? | BUY | 0.3189999156 | $1.95 |
| 03-28 16:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 30? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.38 |
| 03-28 16:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 30? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.57 |
| 03-28 16:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 29? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.50 |
| 03-28 15:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 29? | BUY | 0.164 | $1.91 |
| 03-28 15:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 29? | SELL | 0.67 | $2.63 |