chokmahxbt
0x3a5c9ef58cd3997556b9868a3ab1dcb219b83469
- Realised P&L
- $39.02
- Volume
- $20.9k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.335 | $1.5k | −$22.05 |
| Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-10-15? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.645 | $992.31 | −$7.69 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? · Yes | 0.527 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-12? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-09? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.00 |
| Will Inter Milano win on 2026-08-05? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.23 |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.62 |
| Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$373.43at 0.730Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?
- +$72.20at 0.321Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-11?
- +$70.52at 0.412Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$43.69at 0.547Will Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?
- +$35.47at 0.557Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 21:20 | Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.65 | $1000.00 |
| 10-14 21:00 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.4k |
| 10-14 20:32 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.679999997 | $63.62 |
| 10-14 20:11 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | SELL | 0.18 | $38.30 |
| 10-14 19:32 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $100.00 |
| 10-14 19:30 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.7199999999 | $1000.00 |
| 10-14 17:18 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.5k |
| 10-12 19:22 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.6599999991 | $30.00 |
| 10-10 15:25 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.54 | $31.15 |
| 10-10 15:23 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.2305750431 | $20.05 |
| 10-10 15:19 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.5199999972 | $30.00 |
| 10-10 15:08 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $20.00 |
| 10-10 14:06 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.88 | $76.45 |
| 10-10 13:26 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.999 | $76.41 |
| 10-10 12:52 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.4899999995 | $37.48 |