0x3A594Cd714983542cF1Df0d45caFF64285C5A364-1756758434184
0x3a594cd714983542cf1df0d45caff64285c5a364
- Realised P&L
- $-3.5k
- Volume
- $1.50M
- Markets traded
- 657
- Open portfolio
- $870.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded657
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.326Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?
- +$799.72at 0.420Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?
- +$793.58at 0.656Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
- +$609.11at 0.390Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?
- +$607.66at 0.122Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:20 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.42 | $84.00 |
| 07-31 14:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.36 |
| 07-31 02:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | BUY | 0.008 | $4.29 |
| 07-31 02:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.08 |
| 07-31 01:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.01 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 01:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 02:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? | SELL | 0.747 | $224.11 |
| 07-29 23:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? | SELL | 0.621 | $6.21 |
| 07-29 22:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.061 | $0.61 |
| 07-29 22:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.0586850394 | $7.45 |
| 07-29 22:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? | SELL | 0.629 | $16.35 |
| 07-29 16:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | BUY | 0.117735936 | $50.00 |
| 07-28 03:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? | BUY | 0.2539999971 | $50.00 |
| 07-27 23:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 07-27 14:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | SELL | 0.68 | $121.43 |