PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3A594Cd714983542cF1Df0d45caFF64285C5A364-1756758434184

0x3a594cd714983542cf1df0d45caff64285c5a364

Realised P&L
$-3.8k
Volume
$1.54M
Markets traded
671
Open portfolio
$627.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded671
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · No0.5800.635$254.00+$22.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.165$115.50$24.50
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0540.045$58.50$11.50
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0350.009$25.03$77.96
Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.0050.029$24.28+$20.10
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0600.043$21.25$8.75
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.0100.061$20.56+$17.19
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0300.004$20.46$155.46
Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.0080.005$15.38$7.21
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0040.003$13.76$8.56
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.0100.013$12.50+$2.50
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0070.002$8.49$32.11
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? · Yes0.0130.005$8.25$11.75
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? · Yes0.0200.006$6.50$13.50
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0060.002$6.00$12.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 18:32Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.003$5.66
08-24 18:12Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.002$4.00
08-21 15:36Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.003$0.59
08-21 15:34Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?SELL0.099$2.08
08-19 17:26Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?BUY0.0745161268$30.00
08-19 15:54Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?SELL0.65$336.92
08-19 15:36Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.007$35.00
08-19 15:34Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?BUY0.49$98.00
08-19 13:33Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?BUY0.15$30.00
08-18 20:10Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?SELL0.505$74.50
08-18 14:11Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.35$70.00
08-18 13:49Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.36$72.00
08-17 13:50Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?SELL0.298$74.50
08-06 23:39Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.09$29.71
08-06 23:33Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?BUY0.4$118.52