0x3A594Cd714983542cF1Df0d45caFF64285C5A364-1756758434184
0x3a594cd714983542cf1df0d45caff64285c5a364
- Realised P&L
- $-3.8k
- Volume
- $1.54M
- Markets traded
- 671
- Open portfolio
- $627.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded671
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.326Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?
- +$799.72at 0.420Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?
- +$793.58at 0.656Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
- +$609.11at 0.390Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?
- +$607.66at 0.122Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 18:32 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.003 | $5.66 |
| 08-24 18:12 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.00 |
| 08-21 15:36 | Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.59 |
| 08-21 15:34 | Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.099 | $2.08 |
| 08-19 17:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | BUY | 0.0745161268 | $30.00 |
| 08-19 15:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | SELL | 0.65 | $336.92 |
| 08-19 15:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.007 | $35.00 |
| 08-19 15:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.49 | $98.00 |
| 08-19 13:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 08-18 20:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | SELL | 0.505 | $74.50 |
| 08-18 14:11 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.35 | $70.00 |
| 08-18 13:49 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.36 | $72.00 |
| 08-17 13:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | SELL | 0.298 | $74.50 |
| 08-06 23:39 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $29.71 |
| 08-06 23:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | BUY | 0.4 | $118.52 |