Sophiaqd
0x3a58bc86e64ea6316a3e42a65483046547a8612f
- Realised P&L
- $59.06
- Volume
- $24.5k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.250 | $533.00 | +$255.84 |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.943 | $294.06 | +$10.14 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.135 | $259.74 | −$28.86 |
| Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$78.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.25at 0.220Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?
- +$36.00at 0.066Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?
- +$18.02at 0.734Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$3.50at 0.818Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$-1.71at 0.865Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 06:09 | UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $46.05 |
| 08-24 06:03 | UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $46.95 |
| 08-24 03:00 | UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $44.85 |
| 08-24 02:45 | UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $52.80 |
| 08-24 02:37 | UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $49.95 |
| 08-24 02:29 | UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $48.00 |
| 07-05 02:57 | Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31? | SELL | 0.27 | $93.69 |
| 07-05 02:41 | Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31? | SELL | 0.27 | $184.41 |
| 07-05 02:22 | Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31? | SELL | 0.27 | $160.65 |
| 06-30 08:52 | Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $40.30 |
| 06-30 08:51 | Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $76.05 |
| 06-30 08:14 | Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $83.59 |
| 06-30 08:05 | Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $77.22 |
| 06-16 01:41 | Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $76.34 |
| 06-16 01:38 | Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $130.90 |