PolyBot

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Traders

Sophiaqd

0x3a58bc86e64ea6316a3e42a65483046547a8612f

Realised P&L
$59.06
Volume
$24.5k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration58.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.250$533.00+$255.84
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.943$294.06+$10.14
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? · Yes0.1500.135$259.74$28.86
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$78.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-24 06:09UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?BUY0.15$46.05
08-24 06:03UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?BUY0.15$46.95
08-24 03:00UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?BUY0.15$44.85
08-24 02:45UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?BUY0.15$52.80
08-24 02:37UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?BUY0.15$49.95
08-24 02:29UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?BUY0.15$48.00
07-05 02:57Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?SELL0.27$93.69
07-05 02:41Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?SELL0.27$184.41
07-05 02:22Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?SELL0.27$160.65
06-30 08:52Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$40.30
06-30 08:51Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$76.05
06-30 08:14Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$83.59
06-30 08:05Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$77.22
06-16 01:41Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?BUY0.22$76.34
06-16 01:38Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?BUY0.22$130.90