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Traders

roygbiv86

0x3a562dddc3f153e466e98390261f6683744eba60

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$283.3k
Markets traded
2,248
Open portfolio
$24.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,248
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 23? · Yes0.5940.950$14.25+$5.34
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 23? · No0.7000.975$9.75+$2.75
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 23? · Yes0.0640.040$0.87$0.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 21:29Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 23?BUY0.96$4.80
09-22 20:13Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 23?SELL0.02$0.70
09-22 20:12Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 23?SELL0.03$0.87
09-22 20:09Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 23?SELL0.05$0.30
09-22 20:06Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 23?BUY0.59$5.90
09-22 20:04Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 23?BUY0.7$7.00
09-22 20:03Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 23?BUY0.0640366572$5.87
09-20 21:48Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 21?SELL0.78$3.90
09-20 21:16Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 21?SELL0.79$3.95
09-20 21:14Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 21?SELL0.79$3.95
09-20 21:14Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 21?SELL0.79$3.95
09-20 21:12Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 21?SELL0.8$8.00
09-20 20:51Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 21?BUY0.8$16.00
09-20 20:50Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 21?BUY0.81$16.20
09-20 17:14Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 14°C or below on September 20?BUY0.96$107.95
Trader roygbiv86 · PolyBot Pro