PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

NeutralMaker

0x3a470f8c90e921b90544406c74611d6477d56202

Realised P&L
$-14.55
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
154
Open portfolio
$56.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded154
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 9? · No0.7100.725$14.50+$0.30
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 9? · No0.4400.630$13.86+$4.18
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 9? · Yes0.5730.370$12.95−$7.09
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 9? · Yes0.5600.505$9.45−$1.03
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 9? · Yes0.3200.275$5.50−$0.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Down0.8900.000$0.00−$4.45
Solana Up or Down - July 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Up0.4200.000$0.00−$4.93
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 11:10Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 9?SELL0.53$9.54
10-08 10:15Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 9?SELL0.53$2.80
10-08 04:19Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETSELL0.99$4.95
10-04 15:24Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETSELL0.99$4.95
09-24 08:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETSELL0.94$4.70
09-21 20:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETSELL0.99$4.95
09-21 19:49Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETSELL0.99$4.95
09-18 15:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETSELL0.99$4.95
09-16 20:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETSELL0.99$4.95
09-15 14:14Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETSELL0.99$4.95
09-04 14:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETSELL0.99$4.95
09-04 14:09Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETSELL0.99$4.95
08-27 13:14Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETSELL0.99$4.95
08-24 15:24Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETSELL0.99$4.95
08-24 15:14Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETSELL0.99$4.95