PolyBot

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Traders

xia-xia

0x3a46afc32921caa4facce191a4eff680bb8d1b0d

Realised P&L
$2.03
Volume
$25.6k
Markets traded
217
Open portfolio
$48.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded217
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration93.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 16:15Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?SELL0.52$26.00
08-07 07:49Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?SELL0.93$46.50
08-06 13:19Will Rob Reiner – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?SELL0.712$35.60
08-05 08:10Will Dusan Vlahovic stay at Juventus?SELL0.055$1.10
08-04 15:20Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?SELL0.36$18.00
08-04 15:20Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?SELL0.57$28.50
08-03 15:18Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.44$22.00
08-03 15:18Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July?SELL0.58$29.00
08-03 09:01Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?SELL0.59$29.50
08-03 02:20Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?SELL0.76$38.00
08-02 23:12Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?SELL0.66$33.00
08-02 13:11Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?SELL0.601$30.05
08-02 06:24Will Tamás Fabiny be the next President of Hungary?SELL0.08$1.60
08-02 05:47Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?SELL0.65$32.50
08-02 05:47Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.5470784$27.35