xia-xia
0x3a46afc32921caa4facce191a4eff680bb8d1b0d
- Realised P&L
- $2.03
- Volume
- $25.6k
- Markets traded
- 217
- Open portfolio
- $48.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded217
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$575.00at 0.500Heat vs. Hawks
- +$21.60at 0.500Heat vs. Hawks
- +$10.96at 0.791US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$7.03at 0.963US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
- +$6.68at 0.931Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 16:15 | Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 08-07 07:49 | Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 08-06 13:19 | Will Rob Reiner – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series? | SELL | 0.712 | $35.60 |
| 08-05 08:10 | Will Dusan Vlahovic stay at Juventus? | SELL | 0.055 | $1.10 |
| 08-04 15:20 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $18.00 |
| 08-04 15:20 | Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.57 | $28.50 |
| 08-03 15:18 | Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.44 | $22.00 |
| 08-03 15:18 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July? | SELL | 0.58 | $29.00 |
| 08-03 09:01 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? | SELL | 0.59 | $29.50 |
| 08-03 02:20 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | SELL | 0.76 | $38.00 |
| 08-02 23:12 | Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k? | SELL | 0.66 | $33.00 |
| 08-02 13:11 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? | SELL | 0.601 | $30.05 |
| 08-02 06:24 | Will Tamás Fabiny be the next President of Hungary? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 08-02 05:47 | Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? | SELL | 0.65 | $32.50 |
| 08-02 05:47 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.5470784 | $27.35 |