TDPB
0x3a3aaf17d64d47e2622511c25229e0dfee4bc380
- Realised P&L
- $-313.89
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 305
- Open portfolio
- $10.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded305
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration2.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.105 | $10.50 | +$4.50 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.388 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.79 |
| Avalanche vs. Wild · Wild | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.20 |
| Wild vs. Avalanche · Wild | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.30 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers · Kansas City Royals | 0.721 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.20 |
| North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane · North Texas Mean Green | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.10 |
| Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-4.5) · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.80 |
| Lakers vs. Rockets · Rockets | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.30 |
| Charleston Cougars vs. UNCW Seahawks · UNCW Seahawks | 0.718 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.17 |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves · Nuggets | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.40 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.60 |
| Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Wisconsin Badgers · Iowa Hawkeyes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.90 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins · Minnesota Twins | 0.627 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.22 |
| Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars · Texas A&M Aggies | 0.358 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.91 |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs · Timberwolves | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.33at 0.716UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Davis Aggies
- +$10.28at 0.743Raptors vs. Celtics
- +$10.28at 0.743San Jose State Spartans vs. Boise State Broncos
- +$7.28at 0.660Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?
- +$6.40at 0.360Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 20:01 | New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 07-09 20:18 | Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 06-27 01:26 | New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.989 | $9.89 |
| 06-24 01:31 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.986 | $9.86 |
| 06-15 02:51 | Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 05-20 19:43 | Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-4.5) | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 05-20 02:55 | Spread: Texas Rangers (-5.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 05-20 02:32 | Cavaliers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.7755 | $7.75 |
| 05-20 02:17 | Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 05-19 04:21 | Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 05-11 04:21 | Golden Knights vs. Ducks | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 05-08 02:40 | Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | BUY | 0.98442 | $9.84 |
| 05-01 01:23 | Stars vs. Wild | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 04-26 01:56 | New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.99 | $9.89 |
| 04-26 00:46 | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.93 | $9.26 |