PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fabulouslymystified483

0x3a39627cb1c709e71d441b34a5c313445455fd6a

Realised P&L
$-23.65
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$6.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.5120.658$1.41+$0.31
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7200.795$1.10+$0.10
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6100.615$1.01+$0.01
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.9310.895$0.96−$0.04
Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? · Yamal0.4400.395$0.90−$0.10
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? · Yamal0.8200.525$0.64−$0.36
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.2470.000$0.00−$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 12:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?BUY0.9199995952$1.00
10-08 18:34Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.96$1.00
10-08 18:31Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 9?SELL0.707$1.14
10-08 16:56Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 9?BUY0.6209999839$1.00
10-08 13:13Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
10-08 12:37Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
10-08 12:36Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.5119998808$1.10
10-08 12:04Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 8?BUY0.98$1.00
10-08 12:04Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.839$4.38
10-08 07:32Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.9309999711$1.00
10-07 07:58Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.9609999962$1.00
10-07 06:53Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 7?BUY0.939999812$1.00
10-06 19:08Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-06 14:04Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8489999771$3.00
10-06 14:03Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.71$2.00