PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x3a30b5880838372024BAccf5AF1ED943964d371B-1774542956050

0x3a30b5880838372024baccf5af1ed943964d371b

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$34.7k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$21.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration62.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.8790.935$19.4k+$1.2k
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8800.935$1.8k+$107.63
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · Yes0.8710.875$713.03+$3.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 17:15Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?BUY0.8712851846$710.00
09-16 16:20Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.91$1.8k
09-15 16:12Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.88$3.4k
09-15 16:08Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.963$1.2k
09-15 15:59Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.96$2.3k
04-15 15:45China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.89$10.2k
04-10 16:32China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.87$2.5k
04-10 16:31China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.8699999999$500.00
04-03 14:13China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.8799999983$500.00
04-03 14:12China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.8799999983$500.00
04-02 16:27Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.8399999998$500.00
04-02 16:11China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.8799999999$500.00
04-01 17:01China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.8699999991$500.00
04-01 17:01Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8299999999$500.00
04-01 16:35Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.8399999998$500.00