0x3a30b5880838372024BAccf5AF1ED943964d371B-1774542956050
0x3a30b5880838372024baccf5af1ed943964d371b
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $34.7k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $21.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No | 0.879 | 0.935 | $19.4k | +$1.2k |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.935 | $1.8k | +$107.63 |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · Yes | 0.871 | 0.875 | $713.03 | +$3.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$282.06at 0.840Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$171.52at 0.820Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.98at 0.910Kings vs. Magic
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:15 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.8712851846 | $710.00 |
| 09-16 16:20 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.8k |
| 09-15 16:12 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.88 | $3.4k |
| 09-15 16:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.963 | $1.2k |
| 09-15 15:59 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.96 | $2.3k |
| 04-15 15:45 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $10.2k |
| 04-10 16:32 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $2.5k |
| 04-10 16:31 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $500.00 |
| 04-03 14:13 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.8799999983 | $500.00 |
| 04-03 14:12 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.8799999983 | $500.00 |
| 04-02 16:27 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.8399999998 | $500.00 |
| 04-02 16:11 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.8799999999 | $500.00 |
| 04-01 17:01 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.8699999991 | $500.00 |
| 04-01 17:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999999 | $500.00 |
| 04-01 16:35 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.8399999998 | $500.00 |