PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x3a308270b4db1be38100fc7c9da35ad08b8663c5

0x3a308270b4db1be38100fc7c9da35ad08b8663c5

Realised P&L
$-3.80
Volume
$58.12
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$4.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.4700.830$1.77+$0.77
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes0.6400.984$1.54+$0.54
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.4100.385$0.94$0.06
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No0.3700.017$0.04$0.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 05:51Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
09-20 21:30Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.469999906$1.00
09-19 07:24Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-19 06:28Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.64$1.00
09-14 23:07Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-14 15:01Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.7$1.00
09-14 06:51Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
09-13 22:48Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.32$1.00
09-11 04:52Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-10 18:42Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?BUY0.29999994$1.00
09-10 08:53US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
09-09 19:49WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on September 9?BUY0.8$1.00
09-09 11:46US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
09-08 18:27Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $182 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
09-08 05:00Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.6799998912$1.00