0x3a308270b4db1be38100fc7c9da35ad08b8663c5
0x3a308270b4db1be38100fc7c9da35ad08b8663c5
- Realised P&L
- $-3.80
- Volume
- $58.12
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $4.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.470 | 0.830 | $1.77 | +$0.77 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.984 | $1.54 | +$0.54 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.385 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.370 | 0.017 | $0.04 | −$0.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.82at 0.268Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$0.46at 0.689Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?
- +$0.46at 0.689Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$0.45at 0.690Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?
- +$0.42at 0.708Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 05:51 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:30 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:24 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 06:28 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 23:07 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 15:01 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 06:51 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:48 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 04:52 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 18:42 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 08:53 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 19:49 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on September 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 11:46 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 18:27 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $182 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 05:00 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |