0x3a2fda2ea4dcd5aa9f40cc863827b6a46ab3bb60
0x3a2fda2ea4dcd5aa9f40cc863827b6a46ab3bb60
- Realised P&L
- $4.80
- Volume
- $113.68
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $8.99
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 19 2026? · No | 0.520 | 0.860 | $1.65 | +$0.65 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? · No | 0.560 | 0.745 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.265 | $1.26 | +$0.26 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.690 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 20? · No | 0.320 | 0.325 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.615 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.580 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.505 | $0.71 | −$0.29 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20? · Down | 0.430 | 0.140 | $0.33 | −$0.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.14at 0.247S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 14?
- +$2.00at 0.339S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?
- +$1.68at 0.379SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?
- +$1.61at 0.389SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?
- +$1.49at 0.410S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 07:39 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 23:38 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 15:38 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 07:36 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 23:34 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 14:52 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 06:50 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 20? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 21:52 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 08:41 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 12:38 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 04:35 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 19:49 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 11:29 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 03:16 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 15:16 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |