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Traders

Said-Outage-Spotter5

0x3a2eab338cadacf1465ec771a439811b986964a4

Realised P&L
$606.68
Volume
$71.1k
Markets traded
4,768
Open portfolio
$1.81

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,768
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration74.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dada Morero be the next mayor of Johannesburg? · Yes0.0240.070$0.92+$0.61
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5000.004$0.29$31.83
Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0280.064$0.15+$0.09
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? · Yes0.1000.009$0.10$0.91
Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0280.037$0.09+$0.02
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%? · Yes0.1000.005$0.05$0.95
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%? · Yes0.1000.004$0.04$0.95
Will Yabloko win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5000.001$0.02$20.21
Will Wuthering Heights get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0450.001$0.01$1.35
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%? · Yes0.1000.002$0.01$0.98
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%? · Yes0.1000.002$0.01$0.98
Will Jack Della Maddalena be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5000.001$0.01$8.42
Will Lukhona Mnguni be the next mayor of Johannesburg? · Yes0.0240.001$0.01$0.30
Will Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0280.003$0.01$0.06
Will the Republican Party win the NY-15 House seat? · Yes0.1250.004$0.01$0.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 10:04Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5%-9.5%?SELL0.4$0.80
07-21 10:04Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?SELL0.33$0.81
07-21 10:04Will 230-239 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?SELL0.06$0.60
07-21 10:03Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?SELL0.277$0.83
07-21 10:03Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?SELL0.64$0.82
07-21 10:03Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.0905$0.91
07-21 10:02Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.24$1.20
07-21 10:02Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.08$0.80
07-21 10:02Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year?SELL0.25$1.45
07-21 10:02Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 22?SELL0.36$1.80
07-21 10:02Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 22?SELL0.42$1.98
07-21 10:02Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?SELL0.718$2.15
07-21 10:01Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 21?SELL0.981$2.62
07-20 19:22Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?BUY0.72$10.80
07-20 19:21Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?BUY0.8$12.00
Trader Said-Outage-Spotter5 · PolyBot Pro