Said-Outage-Spotter5
0x3a2eab338cadacf1465ec771a439811b986964a4
- Realised P&L
- $606.68
- Volume
- $71.1k
- Markets traded
- 4,768
- Open portfolio
- $1.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,768
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$335.26at 0.062Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$187.24at 0.003Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 20?
- +$185.88at 0.018Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?
- +$144.69at 0.204Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$113.61at 0.049Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 10:04 | Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5%-9.5%? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.80 |
| 07-21 10:04 | Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.81 |
| 07-21 10:04 | Will 230-239 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 07-21 10:03 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.277 | $0.83 |
| 07-21 10:03 | Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat? | SELL | 0.64 | $0.82 |
| 07-21 10:03 | Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.0905 | $0.91 |
| 07-21 10:02 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 07-21 10:02 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.80 |
| 07-21 10:02 | Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.45 |
| 07-21 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 22? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 07-21 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 22? | SELL | 0.42 | $1.98 |
| 07-21 10:02 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? | SELL | 0.718 | $2.15 |
| 07-21 10:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 21? | SELL | 0.981 | $2.62 |
| 07-20 19:22 | Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.72 | $10.80 |
| 07-20 19:21 | Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.8 | $12.00 |