PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

polans

0x3a2c0ae3138e6641e89e576a017841ed6dac2262

Realised P&L
$-761.44
Volume
$51.1k
Markets traded
1,487
Open portfolio
$44.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,487
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 1? · No0.7230.755$5.69+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 2? · Yes0.5900.600$5.54+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 1? · No0.7230.730$5.50+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 2? · No0.7300.720$5.38−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 1? · Yes0.2200.215$5.33−$0.12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 1? · No0.8100.745$5.01−$0.44
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 1? · Yes0.3100.250$4.40−$1.05
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 1? · Yes0.5100.400$4.27−$1.18
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on October 1? · No0.7500.480$3.49−$1.96
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 30? · No0.5930.001$0.12−$140.13
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 5? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$2.70
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 26? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$1.40
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 4? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$1.35
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on August 13? · No0.8600.000$0.00−$8.14
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 10? · No0.6400.000$0.00−$12.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 05:11Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 2?BUY0.7299999437$5.45
10-01 05:11Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 2?BUY0.5899999643$5.45
10-01 04:35Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1?BUY0.99$18.17
10-01 01:12Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on October 1?BUY0.75$5.45
10-01 01:12Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 1?BUY0.7233636182$5.45
09-30 23:11Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 1?BUY0.7233636182$5.45
09-30 23:11Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 1?BUY0.8599999053$5.45
09-30 22:14Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 30?BUY0.19$10.25
09-30 22:12Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 1?BUY0.8099999792$5.45
09-30 22:05Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 1?SELL0.99$18.35
09-30 22:05Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 1?BUY0.98$18.17
09-30 22:05Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 1?BUY0.98$18.17
09-30 21:12Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 1?BUY0.2199999935$5.45
09-30 21:12Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 1?BUY0.3099999852$5.45
09-30 20:59Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 30?BUY0.73$4.76