0x3a2361f38b5e7e4b5fa279294dae907ee760e02d
0x3a2361f38b5e7e4b5fa279294dae907ee760e02d
- Realised P&L
- $0.07
- Volume
- $122.87
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $5.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 29? · No | 0.800 | 0.890 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 29? · No | 0.680 | 0.705 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 29? · No | 0.510 | 0.505 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 29? · No | 0.785 | 0.780 | $0.96 | −$0.01 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on September 29? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.485 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29? · No | 0.480 | 0.080 | $0.17 | −$0.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.03at 0.321Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 27?
- +$1.23at 0.452Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 28?
- +$0.92at 0.681Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on September 25?
- +$0.66at 0.572Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 26?
- +$0.55at 0.406Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 18:10 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 18:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 29? | SELL | 0.84 | $1.11 |
| 09-28 17:10 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 15:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 14:36 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.994 | $0.43 |
| 09-28 14:36 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.994 | $0.70 |
| 09-28 14:36 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.994 | $0.69 |
| 09-28 14:36 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.994 | $0.45 |
| 09-28 14:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.20 |
| 09-28 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 12:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on September 28? | SELL | 0.57 | $0.54 |
| 09-28 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 10:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.44 |
| 09-28 10:49 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 28? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.63 |