lin20261
0x3a222c648c548dd5c9b1e2fd8bb4e6bd254e7407
- Realised P&L
- $744.29
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $2.41
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar20.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.07at 0.339Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
- +$104.36at 0.450Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$75.46at 0.560Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$67.72at 0.052Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?
- +$59.78at 0.663Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 05:54 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.44 | $42.07 |
| 10-11 05:52 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4 | $38.58 |
| 10-11 04:49 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $30.17 |
| 10-11 04:43 | Will Jack Crompton win the 2026 Whistler mayoral election? | BUY | 0.1 | $6.95 |
| 10-11 04:42 | Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.6744257506 | $66.94 |
| 10-11 04:03 | Will White House post 140-159 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 10-11 03:54 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.04 |
| 10-11 03:54 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-11 03:54 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.68 | $4.92 |
| 10-11 03:28 | Will White House post 160-179 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $30.17 |
| 10-11 03:28 | Will White House post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.103 | $3.16 |
| 10-11 03:19 | Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 15m? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 10-11 03:19 | Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.05 |
| 10-11 03:18 | Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m? | BUY | 0.42 | $10.16 |
| 10-11 03:18 | Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m? | BUY | 0.98 | $23.72 |