0x3a207bb7853619f1b3b3c46b002d8c54d43c1166
0x3a207bb7853619f1b3b3c46b002d8c54d43c1166
- Realised P&L
- $-54.87
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $55.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 12? · Yes | 0.392 | 0.510 | $11.72 | +$2.72 |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-11? · Yes | 0.579 | 0.585 | $11.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-11? · Yes | 0.330 | 1.000 | $9.09 | +$6.09 |
| Will Union Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-10-11? · Yes | 0.284 | 0.485 | $8.53 | +$3.53 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 12? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.415 | $5.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.475 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.115 | $3.83 | −$1.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.81at 0.485England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
- +$31.91at 0.394Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-21?
- +$27.33at 0.276Will Como 1907 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?
- +$18.20at 0.363Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$14.56at 0.585Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 15:21 | Will Union Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.2843137238 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 15:20 | Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 15:20 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 13:44 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.1099999951 | $2.00 |
| 10-11 13:01 | Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.4499999775 | $3.00 |
| 10-11 13:01 | Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.4499999944 | $4.00 |
| 10-11 12:47 | Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $6.00 |
| 10-11 12:47 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.329999967 | $3.00 |
| 10-11 12:41 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 10-11 12:35 | Elche CF leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.139999993 | $2.00 |
| 10-11 12:32 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-10-11? | SELL | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 10-11 12:21 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 10-11 11:48 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $2.00 |
| 10-11 10:41 | Will Como 1907 vs. AS Roma end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 08:06 | Will Como 1907 vs. AS Roma end in a draw? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |