D266F5
0x3a0e743c50c4eaf0964a84f994d23878ded266f5
- Realised P&L
- $-28.81
- Volume
- $8.1k
- Markets traded
- 702
- Open portfolio
- $47.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded702
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.98at 0.527Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on May 12?
- +$13.56at 0.310Will Seoul have between 140-150mm of precipitation in June?
- +$11.38at 0.155Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?
- +$8.59at 0.774Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 12?
- +$6.53at 0.572Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 01:44 | Will Cristopher Sánchez lead MLB in pitcher wins for the 2026 season? | SELL | 0.467616975 | $4.30 |
| 09-14 01:42 | Will Cristopher Sánchez lead MLB in pitcher wins for the 2026 season? | BUY | 0.4991300565 | $4.59 |
| 08-13 06:11 | Will Mikael Strandman be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? | BUY | 0.99 | $13.86 |
| 08-13 06:11 | Will Erik Evestam be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? | BUY | 0.96 | $13.44 |
| 08-13 06:11 | Will Marianne Utterdahl be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? | BUY | 0.97 | $13.58 |
| 08-13 06:11 | Will Sara Hallin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? | BUY | 0.99 | $13.86 |
| 08-13 06:11 | Will Fredrik Larsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? | BUY | 0.92 | $12.88 |
| 08-13 06:11 | Will Tobias Eriksson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? | BUY | 0.9823593785 | $13.86 |
| 08-13 06:11 | Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.10 |
| 07-15 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C or higher on July 17? | SELL | 0.995 | $5.81 |
| 07-15 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C or higher on July 17? | SELL | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 07-15 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 17? | SELL | 0.75 | $8.13 |
| 07-15 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 17? | SELL | 0.67 | $7.27 |
| 07-15 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 17? | SELL | 0.64 | $6.94 |
| 07-15 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 17? | SELL | 0.54 | $0.14 |