steffun
0x3a08ea1618f82bd30b3f4232b77c18093f4f882d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $116.0k
- Markets traded
- 123
- Open portfolio
- $743.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded123
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5) · Getafe CF | 0.844 | 0.820 | $534.58 | −$15.42 |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5) · Getafe CF | 0.680 | 0.675 | $208.46 | −$1.54 |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-04? · No | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$423.39 |
| Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Palermo FC vs. Mantova 1911: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$130.00 |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) · Scotland | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$288.00 |
| Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5) · Sabah FK | 0.439 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$89.30 |
| Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen · Stan Wawrinka | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will FCSB win on 2026-08-30? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-09-03? · No | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will FC Rapid 1923 win on 2026-08-07? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Spread: FC Universitatea Cluj (-1.5) · FC CFR 1907 Cluj | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Stade de Reims vs. FC Annecy: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.719 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$128.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$300.73at 0.725Spread: Iceland (-2.5)
- +$260.28at 0.732Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-03?
- +$212.68at 0.632Greece vs. Germany: O/U 3.5
- +$183.22at 0.582Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 2.5
- +$172.42at 0.759Paris FC vs. OGC Nice: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 07:35 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5) | BUY | 0.6799999999 | $210.00 |
| 10-10 06:13 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5) | BUY | 0.8436470309 | $550.00 |
| 10-09 16:48 | Will FC Voluntari win on 2026-10-09? | SELL | 0.98 | $708.43 |
| 10-09 16:22 | Spread: PSV (-3.5) | BUY | 0.8099999999 | $500.00 |
| 10-09 14:51 | Will FC Voluntari win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.8299999998 | $600.00 |
| 10-08 17:14 | Spread: FC Universitatea Cluj (-1.5) | BUY | 0.8199999999 | $500.00 |
| 10-06 20:22 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | SELL | 0.45 | $528.07 |
| 10-06 18:11 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.7799999997 | $500.00 |
| 10-06 08:26 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.7699999998 | $410.00 |
| 10-05 20:14 | Will Romania win on 2026-10-05? | SELL | 0.9721501003 | $615.28 |
| 10-05 19:03 | Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05? | SELL | 0.73 | $521.42 |
| 10-05 13:01 | Will Romania win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.7899999998 | $500.00 |
| 10-05 10:35 | Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.5599999994 | $400.00 |
| 10-04 20:25 | Spread: Germany (-2.5) | SELL | 0.995 | $1.2k |
| 10-04 19:44 | Greece vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.9 | $725.81 |