0x3A05cb1739036A2696c6e1Bfec1134eabA972385-1778818679604
0x3a05cb1739036a2696c6e1bfec1134eaba972385
- Realised P&L
- $34.49
- Volume
- $135.52
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $16.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar25.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.705 | $6.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-09? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.695 | $3.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will PSV win on 2026-10-09? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.795 | $3.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.825 | $2.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Buriram United vs. Rayong FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.135 | $0.94 | −$0.05 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.59at 0.329Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$6.55at 0.522Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?
- +$4.40at 0.582Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?
- +$3.72at 0.622Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?
- +$2.36at 0.720Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 17:20 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.8299999613 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 17:19 | Will Buriram United vs. Rayong FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1428571429 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:18 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.7099999949 | $7.00 |
| 10-08 17:14 | Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.6899999425 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 17:14 | Will PSV win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.7899999631 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 07:37 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.8299999613 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 05:13 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.93 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 05:13 | Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 05:12 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.6599999505 | $4.00 |
| 09-16 05:12 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.7099999846 | $6.00 |
| 09-11 13:49 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.6799999547 | $3.00 |
| 09-09 07:03 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.95 | $6.00 |
| 09-09 07:01 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.00 |
| 09-08 03:52 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.5599999851 | $3.00 |
| 09-08 03:51 | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |