wxlinw
0x3a034572be305f0bdecbc4f4e00ce45e3d70d231
- Realised P&L
- $18.20
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $135.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yes | 0.979 | 0.975 | $135.53 | −$0.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.73at 0.977Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
- +$1.81at 0.967Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
- +$1.43at 0.960Xi Jinping out before 2027?
- +$0.90at 0.993Trump out as President by April 30?
- +$0.79at 0.988Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 00:57 | Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | BUY | 0.979 | $62.46 |
| 10-06 02:42 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $134.41 |
| 08-05 01:03 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.958 | $132.20 |
| 07-25 08:44 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $270 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $17.96 |
| 07-25 08:43 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $300 in July? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-13 10:54 | Will Ethereum dip to $900 in July? | BUY | 0.997 | $131.60 |
| 07-07 02:14 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.97 |
| 07-07 02:13 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 06-22 08:18 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June? | BUY | 0.996 | $130.48 |
| 06-22 08:17 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.994 | $130.21 |
| 06-02 07:40 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.988 | $129.43 |
| 05-21 00:57 | Will XRP dip to $0.60 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $128.87 |
| 05-18 01:00 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 11-17? | BUY | 0.999 | $128.87 |
| 05-05 02:04 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $50-$60 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $128.87 |
| 04-20 00:55 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.993 | $128.10 |