0x3a010ef70d3c06cbb0d9cf5ec846ce6d9a868768
0x3a010ef70d3c06cbb0d9cf5ec846ce6d9a868768
- Realised P&L
- $-28.23
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $3.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 11? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.955 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 October 5-11? · No | 0.982 | 0.998 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12? · No | 0.974 | 0.977 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 11? · Yes | 0.613 | 0.581 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.69at 0.435Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
- +$8.59at 0.493Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
- +$4.29at 0.734Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
- +$3.54at 0.160Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
- +$3.21at 0.518Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 04:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 11? | BUY | 0.6129997634 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 04:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 17:36 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9819999863 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 17:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.939999812 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 12:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.9739999922 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 10:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.9569999904 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 10:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.985 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 09:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.9719999806 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 21:06 | Will FC Drita win on 2026-07-21? | SELL | 0.54 | $2.41 |
| 07-20 21:05 | Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-07-21? | SELL | 0.51 | $3.27 |
| 07-20 21:05 | Livesport Prague Open: Diane Parry vs Mai Hontama | SELL | 0.62 | $1.72 |
| 07-20 21:05 | Palermo: Fiona Ferro vs Yufei Ren | SELL | 0.981 | $3.94 |
| 07-20 21:03 | Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-07-21? | BUY | 0.5099999797 | $3.27 |
| 07-20 21:03 | Palermo: Fiona Ferro vs Yufei Ren | BUY | 0.9849997684 | $1.85 |
| 07-20 21:03 | Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-07-23? | SELL | 0.81 | $3.76 |