buddhistbeer
0x3a00e40531f1c5bac3e8a3d73daad2adf2417e19
- Realised P&L
- $-48.78
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $157.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.065 | $138.85 | −$38.55 |
| Trump out as President by August 31? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.009 | $19.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-9.22at 0.049Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 06:22 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 03:24 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999973 | $23.00 |
| 07-31 03:23 | Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0355482434 | $24.42 |
| 07-31 03:23 | Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.048978305 | $33.64 |
| 07-20 01:43 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $36.00 |
| 07-16 04:44 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $31.00 |
| 07-16 03:41 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $38.41 |
| 06-29 05:08 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $49.00 |