buddhistbeer
0x3a00e40531f1c5bac3e8a3d73daad2adf2417e19
- Realised P&L
- $-85.25
- Volume
- $18.6k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $226.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.035 | $220.95 | −$138.07 |
| Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.017 | $5.74 | −$1.26 |
| Trump out as President by August 31? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.98 |
| Trump out as President by September 30? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-11.45at 0.051Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 03:27 | Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | BUY | 0.0207320425 | $7.00 |
| 10-25 03:07 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.043 | $90.00 |
| 10-02 05:24 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0398003696 | $76.62 |
| 09-21 03:27 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.06 | $15.00 |
| 09-20 23:34 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.006 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 23:20 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.005188374 | $6.00 |
| 08-16 02:30 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.005 | $10.00 |
| 08-13 12:27 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.005 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 16:26 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.007 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 22:27 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 06:22 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 03:24 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999973 | $23.00 |
| 07-31 03:23 | Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0355482434 | $24.42 |
| 07-31 03:23 | Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.048978305 | $33.64 |
| 07-20 01:43 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $36.00 |